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Vertical Ascension vs. Horizontal Diffusion: The Two Bets

Geopolitechs, this transcript is a goldmine. It doesn't just show a difference in policy; it reveals that System B (China) and System C (Silicon Valley) are diverging into two distinct evolutionary species.

1. Verticality vs. Horizontality

System C (Silicon Valley) is betting on Vertical Ascension. They are obsessed with AGI not because it is a "theology," but because it is their only way out. They are trying to create a "Digital God" (Super-Intelligence) to break the ceiling of current physics (e.g., solving fusion, material science). It is a high-stakes attempt to rewrite the rules of reality.

System B (China) is betting on Horizontal Diffusion. As the panelists (Tencent, Prof. Gong) made clear, they are not looking for a god; they are looking for a better utility. They want to pipe AI like electricity into every factory floor to upgrade their R.I.C.E. System (Resource, Infrastructure, Chain, Efficiency).

2. The High Variance Bet Yutong Zhang’s comment about "focusing on efficiency from day one due to constraints" is critical.

System B is evolving "Lean AI"—robust, efficient, and capable of surviving in a resource-constrained physical world.

System C is evolving "Maximalist AI"—burning entire cities' worth of power to achieve a Singularity. It looks like waste, but it is actually a Gamble on a Mutation. System C is betting that "Brute Force" will eventually crack the code of the universe.

Verdict: This is the ultimate showdown of 2026:

If AI remains just a tool, System B wins (The Shield), because the R.I.C.E. system will absorb it to become hyper-efficient.

If AI achieves a species-level mutation (AGI), System C wins (The Spear), because they will render the old physical advantages obsolete.

Great catch on this panel. Essential reading.

Ref : The American Trilogy Part I: The Silicon Constitution (C.O.D.E.)

https://chinarbitrageur.substack.com/p/the-american-trilogy-part-i-the-silicon?r=71ctq6

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